Internet traffic forecasting using neural networks

• Author(s): Rocha, Miguel ; Sousa, Pedro ; Cortez, Paulo, 1971- ; Rio, Miguel
• Date: 2006
• Persistent ID: http://hdl.handle.net/1822/6581
• Origin: RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
• Subject(s): Artificial intelligence; Computer communications; Networks
• Document Type: Conference Object
• Language: English

Description

The forecast of Internet traffic is an important issue that has received few attention from the computer networks field. By improving this task, efficient traffic engineering and anomaly detection tools can be created, resulting in economic gains from better resource management. This paper presents a Neural Network Ensemble (NNE) for the prediction of TCP/IP traffic using a Time Series Forecasting (TSF) point of view. Several experiments were devised by considering real-world data from two large Internet Service Providers. In addition, different time scales (e.g. every five minutes and hourly) and forecasting horizons were analyzed. Overall, the NNE approach is competitive when compared with other TSF methods (e.g. Holt-Winters and ARIMA).