Encontrados 24 documentos, a visualizar página 1 de 3
Determinantes do crescimento económico em Portugal: Uma abordagem sectorial par...
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Silva, João Albino; Viegas, CarlosEste trabalho procura identificar os sectores de actividade que estiveram na base do crescimento económico da região do Algarve, a região sul de Portugal continental, bem como os estímulos de crescimento que conseguiram transmitir aos sectores endógenos da região no período entre 1995 e 2003. Com a adopção do modelo de Base Económica, aos níveis inter-regional e intra-regional, os resultados sugerem que fora...
A comparison of the cyclical evolution of various geographic areas of reference...
Guerreiro, Raul Filipe; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.; Andraz, Jorge MiguelThis article evaluates the existing relative degree of association among several developed economies, including Portugal. Using the Kalman fi lter the cyclical evolution of GDP in Portugal is compared with the cyclical evolution of GDP from several other economies of reference, such as the euro area, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Spain, the UK and the US.
The ‘great Moderation’ in OECD countries: Its deepness and implications with bu...
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Norte, NéliaThis paper presents an empirical analysis of the "Great Moderation" phenomenon characterized by a decrease of volatility in GDP real growth rates, using quarterly data for the OECD member states over the period 1960-2010. This paper expands the existing literature on methodological and empirical grounds. We use a GARCH modeling approach with endogenously determined structural breaks in both the trend and volati...
A comparação da evolução cíclica de várias zonas geográficas de referência com ...
Guerreiro, Raul Filipe; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.; Andraz, Jorge MiguelEste artigo, visa avaliar o grau relativo de associação existente entre várias economias avançadas, incluindo Portugal. Neste sentido, a evolução cíclica do PIB de Portugal é comparada com a evolução cíclica do PIB de várias economias de referência, tais como a área do euro, Alemanha, Espanha, EUA, França, Grécia, Irlanda, Itália, Japão e Reino Unido, recorrendo ao filtro de Kalman.
A new approach in the analysis of european countries convergence: Lessons for t...
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.In this paper, we use the concept of convergence based on the stationarity of cross-country per capita output differences and propose new on the persistence and change of persistence of data, taking into consideration the occurrence of structural changes. We consider data on per capita output of the European Union member states, considering the Western European economies and the Eastern European economies in...
Inflation persistence in OECD and non-OECD economies
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.Inflation is an important macroeconomic variable that affects the options of economic agents as well as their future expectations and it is often regarded as a result of domestic policies combined with the effects of globalization and therefore, a sign of how governments have been well succeeded in their political options. This issue is reflected in the mandate of many monetary authorities to maintain price...
Persistence change in tourism data
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.The authors apply recently proposed persistence change tests to inbound tourism series in order to evaluate whether their properties have changed over time. By using quarterly series of the number of overnight stays in hotel accommodation and similar establishments in the Algarve, from 1987:01 to 2008:03, they gathered evidence of persistence change in all series. In particular, a change from I(1) to I(0) was d...
Modelling and forecasting the UK tourism growth cycle in Algarve
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Gouveia, Pedro; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.Over the past three decades, Portugal has developed a strong economic dependence on tourism, which has several implications for the country's overall economic development. Tourism is an activity that is interrelated strongly with the economic system since Portugal as a whole and specific regions in particular rely on the performance of tourism for their economic activity. Moreover, because economic cycles affec...
Dinâmicas sectoriais no Algarve
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Rodrigues, Paulo M. M.Em Portugal, e em particular na região do Algarve, o sector do turismo tem assumido uma importância inegável como motor do desenvolvimento regional, dados os efeitos directos e indirectos gerados sobre os restantes sectores de actividade económica.
Investimento em estradas e desenvolvimento regional em Portugal: O processo das...
Andraz, Jorge Miguel; Pereira, AlfredoO objectivo deste trabalho é investigar o impacto económico regional dos investimentos em infra-estruturas rodoviárias em Portugal, focando o caso das auto-estradas sem custos para o utilizador (auto-estradas Scuts).
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