Autor(es):
Veiga, Paula Alexandra
; Cabral, Manuel de Herédia
Data: 2010
Identificador Persistente: http://hdl.handle.net/1822/11643
Origem: RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
Descrição
This paper studies the political and economic factors that determine successful export
diversification (ED) and export sophistication (ES) strategies in the Sub-Saharan African
(SSA) countries and also the way in which successful ED and sophistication strategies
contribute to explain the improving in some of the millennium development goals (MDG).
We run separate regressions for the determinants of ES and ED, using disaggregated
data of the 48 SSA countries, from 1960 to 2005. The results suggest that better
governance is an important determinant for the success of diversification and
sophistication strategies in SSA. In particular the level of corruption, transparency and
accountability are important factors in limiting or promoting the scope of diversification
and the level of sophistication of the exports. The results also suggest that increases in
human capital in SSA countries promote both ED and ES, showing that the level of
education of the workforce is positively related with ES and ED, with higher levels of
education (tertiary) playing a more important role in explaining ES, while lower levels of
education (primary) being more important as determinants of ED. In the second part we
explore the links between ED and ES and growth presenting evidence that ED and ES are
linked to growth stability in SSA. This study also suggests that the Sub-Saharan countries
that were more successful in achieving ED and ES tend to be more successful in
improving the living conditions of their population. Using different variables of Infant
Mortality (one of the MDG) and life expectancy as dependent variables, we present
evidence that suggests that in SSA higher ED and ES are associated with lower infant
mortality and higher life expectancy. We show that this result is robust, presenting
positive and significant results even when a large number of different control variables
are introduced, or when fixed effects and instrumental variables are considered. The
evidence suggests that ED and ES are part of the solution for a successful development of
SSA.